Noise and nonlinearity in measles epidemics: Combining mechanistic and statistical approaches to population modeling.

Ellner, S. P., B. A. Bailey, G. V. Bobashev, A. R. Gallant, B. T. Grenfell, and D. W. Nychka. 1998. Noise and nonlinearity in measles epidemics: Combining mechanistic and statistical approaches to population modeling. Am Nat 151:425-440.